Auxerre

0 - 0

Paris

Sun, Feb 8, 2026 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 100%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.17 - 2.33 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 24%
43%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Auxerre (Fact Index 4.17): Expected Win % is 24%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Paris (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
60%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 0%
67%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Auxerre : 32% (▲ 8%)
34% (▼ 9%)
Paris : 35% (▲ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.1 (Model B.1)
Auxerre : 15% (▼ 9%)
67% (▲ 24%)
Paris : 18% (▼ 15%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: v B.3 / )


Average Odds : 2.5 - 3.2 - 3.0
Auxerre : 38% (▲ 14%)
30% (▼ 13%)
Paris : 32% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 37%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 30%
AWAY : 37%

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