Bragantino

3 - 0

Flamengo RJ

Fri, Apr 3, 2026 00:30 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 11%
Away: 56%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (9.09 - 3.57 - 1.64)
HOMETEAM: 11%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 61%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (36.84)
Intensity: [Fierce] (63.16)

Bragantino (Fact Index 9.09):
Expected Win % is 11%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Flamengo RJ (Fact Index 1.64):
Expected Win % is 61%, compared to a 56% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Bragantino:
T : 0.250 (0.340 / ▼0.090)
H : 0.250 (0.428 / ▼0.178)
P : 0.000 (0.233 / ▼0.233)

Flamengo RJ:
T : 0.571 (0.776 / ▼0.205)
A : 0.500 (0.674 / ▼0.174)
P : 0.667 (0.858 / ▼0.191)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 27%
17%
AWAY : 56%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 24 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 58%
17%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Bragantino : 37% (▲ 26%)
24% (▼ 4%)
Flamengo RJ : 39% (▼ 22%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.6 - 1.9 (Model B.4)
Bragantino : 2% (▼ 9%)
20% (▼ 8%)
Flamengo RJ : 78% (▲ 17%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 4.1 - 3.3 - 1.9
Bragantino : 23% (▲ 12%)
28% (-)
Flamengo RJ : 49% (▼ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 0%
AWAY : 67%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (49%) Trend: 12 game(s)

HOME : 17%
D : 33%
AWAY : 50%


Football

Odds Trend: 28 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 25%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (49%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 23%
AWAY : 47%


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