Corinthians

0 - 0

Palmeiras

No winner once more: Corinthians and Palmeiras split the spoils in 2 straight meetings. Conversely, 6-Match Unbeaten Streak for Palmeiras.

Sun, Apr 12, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 11%
D: 33%
Away: 56%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.88 - 4.17 - 1.69)
HOMETEAM: 17%
24%
AWAYTEAM: 59%

Weight: [Distant] (73.68)
Intensity: [Tilted] (26.32)

Corinthians (Fact Index 5.88):
Expected Win % is 17%, compared to a 13% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Palmeiras (Fact Index 1.69):
Expected Win % is 59%, compared to a 49% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Corinthians:
T : 0.200 (0.398 / ▼0.198)
H : 0.200 (0.371 / ▼0.171)
P : 0.000 (0.218 / ▼0.218)

Palmeiras:
T : 0.800 (0.724 / ▲0.076)
A : 0.600 (0.629 / ▼0.029)
P : 0.833 (0.682 / ▲0.151)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
50%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 8 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 13%
38%
AWAY : 49%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 7 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
43%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Corinthians : 21% (▲ 4%)
25% (▲ 1%)
Palmeiras : 54% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.7 - 1.5 (Model B.4)
Corinthians : 8% (▼ 9%)
30% (▲ 6%)
Palmeiras : 62% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.8 - 3.2 - 2.6
Corinthians : 33% (▲ 16%)
30% (▲ 6%)
Palmeiras : 37% (▼ 22%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 14 game(s)

HOME : 21%
D : 50%
AWAY : 29%

Based on Away team = 2.6 (37%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 27%
D : 40%
AWAY : 33%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 23%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Away team = 2.6 (37%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 17%
D : 27%
AWAY : 56%


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