Nottingham

vs

Newcastle

Solid: Nottingham haven't dropped all points in 7 outings. However, Away Nightmare Continues for Winless Newcastle.

Sun, May 10, 2026 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 13%
D: 13%
Away: 75%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 4.35 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 36%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Nottingham (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.

Newcastle (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 27%
46%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 30%
53%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Nottingham : 42% (▲ 6%)
22% (▼ 1%)
Newcastle : 36% (▼ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Nottingham | 0.314 | 0.486 | ▲ 0.172
T | Newcastle | 0.371 | 0.487 | ▲ 0.116
H | Nottingham | 0.235 | 0.450 | ▲ 0.215
A | Newcastle | 0.235 | 0.398 | ▲ 0.163
P | Nottingham | 0.667 | 0.898 | ▲ 0.231
P | Newcastle | 0.333 | 0.457 | ▲ 0.124
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.6 - 3.6 - 2.6
Nottingham : 36% (-)
27% (▲ 4%)
Newcastle : 37% (▼ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 20%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam 2.6 = 2.6 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 46%
D : 17%
AWAY : 37%

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