Fulham

1 - 0

Aston Villa

Fulham is showcasing its dominance at home with an unbeaten run of 2 games.

Sat, Apr 25, 2026 11:30 (UTC)


Facts

Fulham :
Ryan Sessegnon 43'
Aston Villa :
-
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 0%
Away: 80%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.33 - 5.88 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 30%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Fulham (Fact Index 3.33): Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Aston Villa (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 42%
8%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 38%
0%
Underdog : 62%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Fulham : 34% (▲ 4%)
21% (▲ 4%)
Aston Villa : 45% (▼ 8%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Fulham | 0.394 | 0.478 | ▲ 0.084
T | Aston Villa | 0.515 | 0.544 | ▲ 0.029
H | Fulham | 0.563 | 0.612 | ▲ 0.049
A | Aston Villa | 0.375 | 0.455 | ▲ 0.080
P | Fulham | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
P | Aston Villa | 0.333 | 0.383 | ▲ 0.050
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.5 - 3.6 - 2.7
Fulham : 38% (▲ 8%)
26% (▲ 9%)
Aston Villa : 36% (▼ 17%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 27%
AWAY : 33%

Hometeam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 23%
AWAY : 23%

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