PromotionNeutral venue

France

2 - 0

Morocco

Resilient France: 16 matches, zero defeats.

Thu, Jul 9, 2026 20:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.22 - 4.17 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 45%
24%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.38)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.62)

France (Fact Index 2.22):
Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 70% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Morocco (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

France:
T : 1.000 (0.926 / ▲0.074)
A : 1.000 (0.926 / ▲0.074)
P : 1.000 (0.926 / ▲0.074)

Morocco:
T : 0.600 (0.767 / ▼0.167)
A : 0.600 (0.767 / ▼0.167)
P : 0.600 (0.767 / ▼0.167)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 70%
13%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
17%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
France : 41% (▼ 4%)
23% (▼ 1%)
Morocco : 36% (▲ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
France : 35% (▼ 10%)
30% (▲ 6%)
Morocco : 35% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 47.6%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 3.9 - 6.5
France : 60% (▲ 16%)
25% (▲ 1%)
Morocco : 15% (▼ 16%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 1.6 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 56%
D : 37%
AWAY : 7%


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