Bahia

1 - 2

Palmeiras

Palmeiras Clinches 5th Consecutive Victory.

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 22:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 43%
D: 0%
Away: 57%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 6.25 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 41%
16%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Weight: [Close] (10.53)
Intensity: [Extreme] (89.47)

Bahia (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Palmeiras (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Bahia:
T : 0.625 (0.668 / ▼0.043)
H : 0.500 (0.836 / ▼0.336)
P : 0.667 (0.682 / ▼0.015)

Palmeiras:
T : 0.778 (0.725 / ▲0.053)
A : 0.500 (0.608 / ▼0.108)
P : 0.833 (0.682 / ▲0.151)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
50%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Bahia : 45% (▲ 4%)
21% (▲ 5%)
Palmeiras : 34% (▼ 9%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 0.8 (Model B.4)
Bahia : 39% (▼ 2%)
32% (▲ 16%)
Palmeiras : 29% (▼ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.0 - 3.3 - 2.3
Bahia : 32% (▼ 9%)
29% (▲ 13%)
Palmeiras : 39% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 2.3 (39%) Trend: 22 game(s)

HOME : 32%
D : 27%
AWAY : 41%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 20%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 2.3 (39%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 27%
AWAY : 40%


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