Marseille

2 - 2

Strasbourg

Sat, Feb 14, 2026 16:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 60%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 3.33 - 4.00)
HOMETEAM: 45%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 25%

Marseille (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.

Strasbourg (Fact Index 4.00): Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 27%
53%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 18%
64%
Underdog : 18%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Marseille : 60% (▲ 15%)
23% (▼ 7%)
Strasbourg : 17% (▼ 8%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 4.1 - 4.7
Marseille : 57% (▲ 12%)
23% (▼ 7%)
Strasbourg : 20% (▼ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 23%
AWAY : 13%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 27%
AWAY : 23%

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