Jablonec

3 - 0

Ostrava

Jablonec secure 5th consecutive victory against Ostrava. However, Ostrava Road Trip Hell: 3rd Straight Away Loss.

Wed, Sep 9, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 83%
D: 0%
Away: 17%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.49 - 25.00 - 3.45)
HOMETEAM: 67%
4%
AWAYTEAM: 29%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.67)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.33)

Jablonec (Fact Index 1.49):
Expected Win % is 67%, compared to a 100% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Ostrava (Fact Index 3.45):
Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Jablonec:
T : 0.500 (0.550 / ▼0.050)
P : 0.500 (0.550 / ▼0.050)

Ostrava:
T : 0.500 (0.233 / ▲0.267)
P : 0.500 (0.233 / ▲0.267)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 1.4 (Model A.)
Jablonec : 55% (▼ 12%)
14% (▲ 10%)
Ostrava : 31% (▲ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 0.8 (Model B.4)
Jablonec : 56% (▼ 11%)
25% (▲ 21%)
Ostrava : 19% (▼ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.5 - 3.6
Jablonec : 47% (▼ 20%)
27% (▲ 23%)
Ostrava : 26% (▼ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 0%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (47%) Trend: 18 game(s)

HOME : 55%
D : 17%
AWAY : 28%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 13%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (47%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 40%
AWAY : 30%


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