Brest

0 - 2

Toulouse

Sun, Jan 25, 2026 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 25%
Away: 25%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 5.00 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 48%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Brest (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 45% actual win rate for identical index values.

Toulouse (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 11% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 45%
44%
AWAY : 11%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 57%
43%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Brest : 49% (▲ 1%)
27% (▲ 7%)
Toulouse : 25% (▼ 8%)


Average Odds : 2.9 - 3.0 - 2.7
Brest : 33% (▼ 15%)
32% (▲ 12%)
Toulouse : 35% (▲ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 37%
AWAY : 33%

Awayteam = 2.7 Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 43%
AWAY : 20%

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