PSG

1 - 2

Lyon

Road form is strong: Lyon has gone 3 matches away without a loss.

Sun, Apr 19, 2026 18:45 (UTC)


Facts

PSG :
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 90' +4
Lyon :
Afonso Moreira 18'
Endrick 6'
PSG - OL : Portés par Endrick et Moreira, les Lyonnais créent l’exploit au Parc des Princes
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 10%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.56 - 6.25 - 5.00)
HOMETEAM: 64%
16%
AWAYTEAM: 20%

PSG (Fact Index 1.56): Expected Win % is 64%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lyon (Fact Index 5.00): Expected Win % is 20%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 62%
0%
Underdog : 38%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
PSG : 57% (▼ 7%)
18% (▲ 2%)
Lyon : 25% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | PSG | 0.741 | 0.780 | ▲ 0.039
T | Lyon | 0.517 | 0.625 | ▲ 0.108
H | PSG | 0.846 | 0.868 | ▲ 0.022
A | Lyon | 0.333 | 0.517 | ▲ 0.184
P | PSG | 0.667 | 0.691 | ▲ 0.024
P | Lyon | 0.167 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.333
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.3 - 5.9 - 8.8
PSG : 73% (▲ 9%)
16% (-)
Lyon : 11% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 80%
D : 10%
AWAY : 10%

Hometeam = 1.3 Trend:

HOME : 73%
D : 20%
AWAY : 7%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy