Marseille

1 - 1

Nice

Home form is rock solid: Marseille has gone 2 matches at home without a loss. Meanwhile, Nice shared points in 3 straight matches.

Sun, Apr 26, 2026 18:45 (UTC)


Facts

Marseille :
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 66'
Nice :
Elye Wahi 88' (Pen.)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 20%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.85 - 5.00 - 3.85)
HOMETEAM: 54%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 26%

Marseille (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nice (Fact Index 3.85): Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
27%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 47%
32%
Underdog : 21%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Marseille : 51% (▼ 3%)
23% (▲ 3%)
Nice : 26% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Marseille | 0.533 | 0.618 | ▲ 0.085
T | Nice | 0.233 | 0.343 | ▲ 0.110
H | Marseille | 0.667 | 0.718 | ▲ 0.051
A | Nice | 0.200 | 0.306 | ▲ 0.106
P | Marseille | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
P | Nice | 0.167 | 0.193 | ▲ 0.026
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.8 - 6.0
Marseille : 64% (▲ 10%)
20% (-)
Nice : 16% (▼ 10%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 56%
D : 27%
AWAY : 17%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 20%
AWAY : 20%

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