Aston Villa

1 - 0

Brighton

Wed, Feb 11, 2026 19:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 10%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 3.57 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 51%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Aston Villa (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brighton (Fact Index 4.76): Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 32% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 42%
26%
AWAY : 32%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 47%
24%
Underdog : 29%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Aston Villa : 49% (▼ 2%)
27% (▼ 1%)
Brighton : 24% (▲ 3%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.7 - 3.9
Aston Villa : 49% (▼ 2%)
26% (▼ 2%)
Brighton : 25% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%

Hometeam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 36%
D : 37%
AWAY : 27%

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