Lorient

0 - 2

Le Havre

Lorient have lost their home advantage, falling in 2 straight games. Meanwhile, 4 Unbeaten for Le Havre on the Road.

Sun, May 17, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 50%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 2.38 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 37%
42%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Lorient (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Le Havre (Fact Index 4.76): Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
20%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
20%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Lorient : 43% (▲ 6%)
34% (▼ 8%)
Le Havre : 23% (▲ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Lorient | 0.333 | 0.493 | ▲ 0.160
T | Le Havre | 0.182 | 0.378 | ▲ 0.196
H | Lorient | 0.500 | 0.596 | ▲ 0.096
A | Le Havre | 0.063 | 0.224 | ▲ 0.161
P | Lorient | 0.333 | 0.602 | ▲ 0.269
P | Le Havre | 0.000 | 0.462 | ▲ 0.462
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.6 - 3.5 - 2.6
Lorient : 36% (▼ 1%)
27% (▼ 15%)
Le Havre : 37% (▲ 16%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 44%
D : 23%
AWAY : 33%

Hometeam 2.6 = 2.6 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 46%
D : 17%
AWAY : 37%

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