Aarhus

0 - 2

Midtjylland

Aarhus is battling through a 2-match win drought. Meanwhile, Midtjylland Proves Tough to Beat Away from Home.

Wed, Sep 2, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 50%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (12.50 - 2.00 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 8%
50%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (54.55)
Intensity: [Moderate] (45.45)

Aarhus (Fact Index 12.50):
Expected Win % is 8%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Midtjylland (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Aarhus:
T : 0.000 (0.419 / ▼0.419)
P : 0.000 (0.419 / ▼0.419)

Midtjylland:
T : 0.600 (0.648 / ▼0.048)
P : 0.600 (0.648 / ▼0.048)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 20%
20%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
20%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.2 (Model A.)
Aarhus : 22% (▲ 14%)
39% (▼ 11%)
Midtjylland : 39% (▼ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
Aarhus : 20% (▲ 12%)
32% (▼ 18%)
Midtjylland : 48% (▲ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.7 - 3.6 - 2.4
Aarhus : 34% (▲ 26%)
26% (▼ 24%)
Midtjylland : 39% (▼ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 2.4 (39%) Trend: 14 game(s)

HOME : 29%
D : 14%
AWAY : 57%


Football

Odds Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 15%
D : 47%
AWAY : 38%

Based on Away team = 2.4 (39%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 27%
AWAY : 40%


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