Inter-League

New England

0 - 2

Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo Extension: New England Slump Reaches 2 Games. However, Houston Dynamo: Unbeaten run extended to 6 fixtures.

Sat, Aug 8, 2026 20:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 25%
D: 0%
Away: 75%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 4.35 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 42%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Weight: [Adjacent] (3.45)
Intensity: [Extreme] (96.55)

New England (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Houston Dynamo (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

New England:
T : 0.529 (0.592 / ▼0.063)
H : 0.800 (0.778 / ▲0.022)
A : 0.143 (0.309 / ▼0.166)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

Houston Dynamo:
T : 0.529 (0.513 / ▲0.016)
H : 0.667 (0.668 / ▼0.001)
A : 0.375 (0.414 / ▼0.039)
P : 0.500 (0.648 / ▼0.148)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
10%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 20 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
10%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.1 (Model A.)
New England : 43% (▲ 1%)
25% (▲ 2%)
Houston Dynamo : 32% (▼ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
New England : 46% (▲ 4%)
23% (-)
Houston Dynamo : 31% (▼ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 61.9%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.5 - 2.8
New England : 40% (▼ 2%)
27% (▲ 4%)
Houston Dynamo : 33% (▼ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 8 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 25%
AWAY : 25%

Based on Home team = 2.4 (40%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 33%
AWAY : 27%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 33%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 2.4 (40%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 33%
AWAY : 20%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

HOME : 100%
DRAW : 0%
AWAY : 0%

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