Palmeiras

1 - 0

Chapecoense

Palmeiras Home Streak: 23 Games Without Defeat. Conversely, Losing Skid Hits 3 for Struggling Chapecoense.

Sun, May 31, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.72 - 3.13 - 10.00)
HOMETEAM: 58%
32%
AWAYTEAM: 10%

Weight: [Polar Opposites] (100.00)
Intensity: [One-Sided] (0.00)

Palmeiras (Fact Index 1.72):
Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 100% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Chapecoense (Fact Index 10.00):
Expected Win % is 10%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Palmeiras:
T : 0.647 (0.739 / ▼0.092)
H : 0.750 (0.767 / ▼0.017)
P : 0.500 (0.782 / ▼0.282)

Chapecoense:
T : 0.063 (0.305 / ▼0.242)
A : 0.000 (0.193 / ▼0.193)
P : 0.000 (0.289 / ▼0.289)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Palmeiras : 67% (▲ 9%)
28% (▼ 4%)
Chapecoense : 5% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 0.8 (Model B.4)
Palmeiras : 46% (▼ 12%)
23% (▼ 9%)
Chapecoense : 31% (▲ 21%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.2 - 6.0 - 11.5
Palmeiras : 76% (▲ 18%)
16% (▼ 16%)
Chapecoense : 8% (▼ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.2 (76%) Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 76%
D : 17%
AWAY : 7%

Based on Home team = 1.2 (76%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 76%
D : 17%
AWAY : 7%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy