Lille

2 - 1

Toulouse

Sun, Sep 14, 2025 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 71%
D: 14%
Away: 14%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 4.76 - 3.45)
HOMETEAM: 50%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 29%

Lille (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Toulouse (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 7% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
33%
AWAY : 7%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 63%
33%
Underdog : 4%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Lille : 63% (▲ 13%)
23% (▲ 2%)
Toulouse : 15% (▼ 14%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.9 - 4.1
Lille : 52% (▲ 2%)
25% (▲ 4%)
Toulouse : 23% (▼ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 13%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 40%
AWAY : 27%

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