Vasco

1 - 2

Botafogo RJ

Botafogo RJ dominance: Vasco drop 4th straight matchup. Conversely, Botafogo RJ are riding a wave of 2 consecutive wins.

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 00:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 14%
D: 14%
Away: 71%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.33 - 5.56 - 2.56)
HOMETEAM: 43%
18%
AWAYTEAM: 39%

Weight: [Close] (21.05)
Intensity: [Fierce] (78.95)

Vasco (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 21% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Botafogo RJ (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Vasco:
T : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)
H : 0.600 (0.592 / ▲0.008)
P : 0.500 (0.559 / ▼0.059)

Botafogo RJ:
T : 0.375 (0.419 / ▼0.044)
A : 0.200 (0.309 / ▼0.109)
P : 0.333 (0.309 / ▲0.024)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 14 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 21%
36%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 8 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 25%
25%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Vasco : 45% (▲ 2%)
18% (-)
Botafogo RJ : 37% (▼ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.9 (Model B.4)
Vasco : 21% (▼ 22%)
25% (▲ 7%)
Botafogo RJ : 54% (▲ 15%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.3 - 3.2
Vasco : 42% (▼ 1%)
29% (▲ 11%)
Botafogo RJ : 29% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 15 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 20%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 20%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 23%
AWAY : 27%


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