PromotionNeutral venue

Paraguay

0 - 1

France

Hard to Beat: France mark 15 matches since last defeat.

Sat, Jul 4, 2026 21:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.56 - 3.70 - 1.82)
HOMETEAM: 18%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 55%

Paraguay (Fact Index 5.56): Expected Win % is 18%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

France (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 20%
20%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
20%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Paraguay : 24% (▲ 6%)
24% (▼ 3%)
France : 52% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Paraguay | 0.250 | 0.340 | ▲ 0.090
T | France | 1.000 | 0.919 | ▼ 0.081
A | Paraguay | 0.250 | 0.340 | ▲ 0.090
A | France | 1.000 | 0.919 | ▼ 0.081
P | Paraguay | 0.250 | 0.340 | ▲ 0.090
P | France | 1.000 | 0.919 | ▼ 0.081
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 15.9 - 6.8 - 1.2
Paraguay : 6% (▼ 12%)
14% (▼ 13%)
France : 80% (▲ 25%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 17%
D : 11%
AWAY : 72%

Awayteam = 1.2 Trend:

HOME : 3%
D : 10%
AWAY : 87%

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