Nice

vs

Rennes

Points Shared Again: Nice Draw 4th Consecutive Home Match. Meanwhile, Rennes confirms a run of 3 straight victories.

Sun, Mar 8, 2026 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 10%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 4.35 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 39%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Nice (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Rennes (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
13%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 13%
0%
Underdog : 87%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Nice : 44% (▲ 5%)
22% (▼ 1%)
Rennes : 34% (▼ 4%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model B.3)
Nice : 41% (▲ 2%)
21% (▼ 2%)
Rennes : 38% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: v B.3 / 81)


Average Odds : 2.8 - 3.5 - 2.5
Nice : 35% (▼ 4%)
27% (▲ 4%)
Rennes : 38% (-)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 30%
AWAY : 43%

Awayteam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 33%
AWAY : 40%

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