Lyon

2 - 1

Brest

Sun, Jan 18, 2026 19:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 30%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 5.88 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 48%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Lyon (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brest (Fact Index 2.86): Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 42%
29%
AWAY : 29%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
33%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Lyon : 58% (▲ 10%)
20% (▲ 3%)
Brest : 23% (▼ 12%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 4.0 - 5.1
Lyon : 58% (▲ 10%)
24% (▲ 7%)
Brest : 19% (▼ 16%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 46%
D : 46%
AWAY : 8%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 56%
D : 27%
AWAY : 17%

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