Mexico

3 - 0

Czech Republic

Home form is rock solid: Mexico has gone 10 matches at home without a loss.

Thu, Jun 25, 2026 01:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

Highlights | Mexico 2-3 England | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | Mexico 2-0 Ecuador |FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | Mexico 1-0 Korea Republic | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Mexico 1-0 Australia | Extended Highlights | International Friendly
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 2.94 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 33%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Mexico (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 40% in this event.

Czech Republic (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
27%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
27%
Underdog : 10%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
20%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
23%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Mexico : 39% (▲ 6%)
29% (▼ 5%)
Czech Republic : 32% (▼ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Mexico : 46% (▲ 13%)
23% (▼ 11%)
Czech Republic : 31% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.9 - 3.7
Mexico : 49% (▲ 16%)
25% (▼ 9%)
Czech Republic : 26% (▼ 7%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 1.9 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 47%
D : 33%
AWAY : 20%


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