Promotion

Porto

1 - 1

Nottingham

Hard to Beat: FC Porto mark 8 matches since last defeat. Conversely, Nottingham Away Streak: 3 Games Unbeaten.

Thu, Apr 9, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Porto :
William Gomes 11' (W. Gomes)
Nottingham :
Martim Fernandes 13' (OG)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 33%
Away: 67%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 5.00 - 3.45)
HOMETEAM: 51%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 29%

Porto (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nottingham (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 42%
29%
AWAY : 29%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 32%
36%
Underdog : 32%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Porto : 44% (▼ 7%)
23% (▲ 3%)
Nottingham : 33% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Porto | 0.700 | 0.727 | ▲ 0.027
T | Nottingham | 0.500 | 0.699 | ▲ 0.199
H | Porto | 1.000 | 0.858 | ▼ 0.142
A | Nottingham | 0.500 | 0.682 | ▲ 0.182
P | Porto | 0.833 | 0.822 | ▼ 0.011
P | Nottingham | 0.500 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.211
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.3 - 3.6
Porto : 44% (▼ 7%)
29% (▲ 9%)
Nottingham : 27% (▼ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 30%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 2.2 Trend:

HOME : 36%
D : 37%
AWAY : 27%

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