Lyon

3 - 2

Auxerre

Milestone: Lyon hit 4 matches without a loss.

Sat, Apr 25, 2026 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

Lyon :
Roman Yaremchuk 71', 19'
Corentin Tolisso 66'
Auxerre :
Bryan Okoh 88'
Sinaly Diomandé 35'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 33%
Away: 17%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.33 - 2.27 - 7.69)
HOMETEAM: 43%
44%
AWAYTEAM: 13%

Lyon (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Auxerre (Fact Index 7.69): Expected Win % is 13%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Lyon : 39% (▼ 4%)
35% (▼ 9%)
Auxerre : 26% (▲ 13%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Lyon | 0.533 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.096
T | Auxerre | 0.167 | 0.359 | ▲ 0.192
H | Lyon | 0.714 | 0.747 | ▲ 0.033
A | Auxerre | 0.067 | 0.289 | ▲ 0.222
P | Lyon | 0.333 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.296
P | Auxerre | 0.167 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.462
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 4.0 - 5.2
Lyon : 58% (▲ 15%)
24% (▼ 20%)
Auxerre : 18% (▲ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 87%
D : 10%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 27%
AWAY : 23%

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