Monaco

1 - 0

PSG

Sat, Nov 29, 2025 16:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 30%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.17 - 4.76 - 1.79)
HOMETEAM: 24%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 56%

Monaco (Fact Index 4.17): Expected Win % is 24%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

PSG (Fact Index 1.79): Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 33%
17%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 40%
0%
Underdog : 60%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Monaco : 29% (▲ 5%)
27% (▲ 6%)
PSG : 45% (▼ 11%)


Average Odds : 5.0 - 4.5 - 1.6
Monaco : 19% (▼ 5%)
21% (-)
PSG : 60% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 55%
D : 9%
AWAY : 36%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 3%
D : 30%
AWAY : 67%

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