Brentford

0 - 2

Brighton

Brentford Skid vs Brighton 2 Games.

Sat, Feb 21, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 30%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 2.86 - 4.35)
HOMETEAM: 42%
35%
AWAYTEAM: 23%

Brentford (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 58% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brighton (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 24% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 58%
18%
AWAY : 24%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 58%
21%
Underdog : 21%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Brentford : 50% (▲ 8%)
28% (▼ 7%)
Brighton : 22% (▼ 1%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.8 - 3.6
Brentford : 47% (▲ 5%)
26% (▼ 9%)
Brighton : 27% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 33%
AWAY : 17%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 23%
AWAY : 44%

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