Al Hilal

0 - 2

Neom

Neom Extend Hot Streak to 2 Games.

Mon, Sep 7, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 0%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 5.88 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 51%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Weight: [Close] (17.65)
Intensity: [Extreme] (82.35)

Al Hilal (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Neom (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Al Hilal:
T : 1.000 (0.905 / ▲0.095)
P : 1.000 (0.905 / ▲0.095)

Neom:
T : 0.600 (0.674 / ▼0.074)
P : 0.600 (0.674 / ▼0.074)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 12 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 42%
33%
AWAY : 25%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 8 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 75%
0%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.4 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Al Hilal : 59% (▲ 8%)
18% (▲ 1%)
Neom : 23% (▼ 9%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.1 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Al Hilal : 46% (▼ 5%)
23% (▲ 6%)
Neom : 31% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.2 - 6.5 - 10.6
Al Hilal : 77% (▲ 26%)
14% (▼ 3%)
Neom : 9% (▼ 23%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 25%
AWAY : 25%

Based on Home team = 1.2 (77%) Trend: 6 game(s)

HOME : 66%
D : 17%
AWAY : 17%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 83%
D : 10%
AWAY : 7%

Based on Home team = 1.2 (77%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 83%
D : 7%
AWAY : 10%


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