Auxerre

0 - 3

Rennes

Rennes Extend Hot Streak to 2 Games.

Sun, Feb 22, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 33%
Away: 33%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 3.57 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 39%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Auxerre (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.

Rennes (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 54%
23%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 63%
27%
Underdog : 10%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Auxerre : 44% (▲ 5%)
22% (▼ 6%)
Rennes : 34% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 0.8 (Model B.3)
Auxerre : 46% (▲ 7%)
24% (▼ 4%)
Rennes : 30% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: v B.3 / 81)


Average Odds : 3.0 - 3.4 - 2.4
Auxerre : 32% (▼ 7%)
29% (▲ 1%)
Rennes : 39% (▲ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 13%
AWAY : 47%

Awayteam = 2.4 Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 27%
AWAY : 43%

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