Flamengo RJ

3 - 1

Santos

Flamengo RJ Home Streak: 27 Games Without Defeat.

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 20:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 71%
D: 0%
Away: 29%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.33 - 2.78 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 43%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.58)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.42)

Flamengo RJ (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 66% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Santos (Fact Index 4.76):
Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Flamengo RJ:
T : 0.500 (0.653 / ▼0.153)
P : 0.667 (0.736 / ▼0.069)

Santos:
T : 0.222 (0.474 / ▼0.252)
A : 0.000 (0.352 / ▼0.352)
P : 0.333 (0.592 / ▼0.259)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 12 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 66%
17%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 10 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 70%
20%
Underdog : 10%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Flamengo RJ : 46% (▲ 3%)
28% (▼ 8%)
Santos : 26% (▲ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Flamengo RJ : 46% (▲ 3%)
25% (▼ 11%)
Santos : 29% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.4 - 4.7 - 8.5
Flamengo RJ : 69% (▲ 26%)
20% (▼ 16%)
Santos : 11% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 8 game(s)

HOME : 87%
D : 13%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (69%) Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 85%
D : 15%
AWAY : 0%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 73%
D : 20%
AWAY : 7%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (69%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 74%
D : 13%
AWAY : 13%


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