Mexico

1 - 0

Korea Republic

Home form is rock solid: Mexico has gone 9 matches at home without a loss.

Fri, Jun 19, 2026 01:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 50%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 3.03 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 35%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Mexico (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 28% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Korea Republic (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 48% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 29 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 28%
24%
AWAY : 48%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 21 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 43%
14%
Underdog : 43%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Mexico : 40% (▲ 5%)
28% (▼ 5%)
Korea Republic : 32% (-)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Mexico : 46% (▲ 11%)
23% (▼ 10%)
Korea Republic : 31% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.4 - 2.3
Mexico : 40% (▲ 5%)
24% (▼ 9%)
Korea Republic : 36% (▲ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 2.0 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 54%
D : 33%
AWAY : 13%


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