Incheon Utd

1 - 2

Ulsan HD

Incheon Utd’s struggle continues: 2 straight losses to Ulsan HD.

Sat, Apr 11, 2026 07:30 (UTC)


Facts

Incheon Utd :
Stefan Mugoša 71' (S. Jae-Min)
Ulsan HD :
Marcão 90' +5 (Lee Kyu-seong)
Yago Cariello 23' (Lee Dong-gyeong)
[Full ENG] 2026 K LEAGUE 1 I R06 I Incheon vs Gimcheon I 15-Min Extended Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 40%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.55 - 4.55 - 1.79)
HOMETEAM: 22%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 56%

Incheon Utd (Fact Index 4.55): Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.

Ulsan HD (Fact Index 1.79): Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 38%
8%
AWAY : 54%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 20%
20%
Underdog : 60%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Incheon Utd : 30% (▲ 8%)
24% (▲ 2%)
Ulsan HD : 46% (▼ 10%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Incheon Utd | 0.333 | 0.428 | ▲ 0.095
T | Ulsan HD | 0.600 | 0.674 | ▲ 0.074
P | Incheon Utd | 0.333 | 0.428 | ▲ 0.095
P | Ulsan HD | 0.600 | 0.674 | ▲ 0.074
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.5 - 3.2 - 2.8
Incheon Utd : 38% (▲ 16%)
29% (▲ 7%)
Ulsan HD : 33% (▼ 23%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 36%
D : 27%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 34%
D : 33%
AWAY : 33%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy