Marseille

2 - 2

Toulouse

Sat, Nov 29, 2025 20:05 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 50%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.67 - 3.85 - 6.67)
HOMETEAM: 60%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 15%

Marseille (Fact Index 1.67): Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Toulouse (Fact Index 6.67): Expected Win % is 15%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Marseille : 68% (▲ 8%)
22% (▼ 4%)
Toulouse : 12% (▼ 3%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 4.1 - 5.5
Marseille : 59% (▼ 1%)
23% (▼ 3%)
Toulouse : 17% (▲ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 19%
AWAY : 14%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 77%
D : 13%
AWAY : 10%

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