Neutral venue

Brazil

1 - 1

Morocco

Unbeaten at Home: Brazil's Run Hits 6. Conversely, Solid: Morocco haven't dropped all points in 9 outings.

Sat, Jun 13, 2026 22:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

Highlights | France 2-0 Morocco | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | Brazil 1-2 Norway | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | Brazil 2-1 Japan | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | Netherlands (2)1-1(3) Morocco | FIFA World Cup 2026™
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 50%
Away: 50%

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 3.13 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 35%
32%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Brazil (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Morocco (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 37%
33%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
33%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Brazil : 47% (▲ 12%)
26% (▼ 6%)
Morocco : 27% (▼ 6%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
Brazil : 35% (-)
30% (▼ 2%)
Morocco : 35% (▲ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.9 - 5.6
Brazil : 58% (▲ 23%)
25% (▼ 7%)
Morocco : 17% (▼ 16%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 0%
D : 100%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 1.7 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 40%
D : 33%
AWAY : 27%


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