Suspended

Utrecht

3 - 3

G.A. Eagles

Tue, Sep 8, 2026 12:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 60%
Away: 10%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.76 - 2.56 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 21%
39%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (58.82)
Intensity: [Moderate] (41.18)

Utrecht (Fact Index 4.76):
Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

G.A. Eagles (Fact Index 2.50):
Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Utrecht:
T : 0.000 (0.233 / ▼0.233)
P : 0.000 (0.233 / ▼0.233)

G.A. Eagles:
T : 0.500 (0.565 / ▼0.065)
P : 0.500 (0.565 / ▼0.065)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 7 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 29%
42%
AWAY : 29%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 25%
25%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.9 - 1.6 (Model A.)
Utrecht : 33% (▲ 12%)
31% (▼ 8%)
G.A. Eagles : 36% (▼ 4%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.0 (Model B.4)
Utrecht : 46% (▲ 25%)
23% (▼ 16%)
G.A. Eagles : 31% (▼ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


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