Thun

0 - 0

Lausanne

Milestone: Thun hit 2 matches without a loss.

Wed, Sep 2, 2026 18:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 100%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 3.57 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 39%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Weight: [Close] (27.27)
Intensity: [Fierce] (72.73)

Thun (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 70% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Lausanne (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Thun:
T : 0.500 (0.360 / ▲0.140)
P : 0.500 (0.360 / ▲0.140)

Lausanne:
T : 0.200 (0.450 / ▼0.250)
P : 0.200 (0.450 / ▼0.250)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 70%
13%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 70%
13%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.3 - 0.3 (Model A.)
Thun : 42% (▲ 3%)
26% (▼ 2%)
Lausanne : 32% (▼ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.8 (Model B.4)
Thun : 46% (▲ 7%)
23% (▼ 5%)
Lausanne : 31% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 42.9%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.1 - 3.6 - 3.3
Thun : 46% (▲ 7%)
26% (▼ 2%)
Lausanne : 28% (▼ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 100%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (46%) Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 50%
AWAY : 0%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 27%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (46%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 23%
AWAY : 23%


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