Cerezo Osaka

2 - 0

Kashiwa Reysol

Unbeaten at Home: Cerezo Osaka's Run Hits 9.

Wed, Sep 2, 2026 10:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 50%
Away: 30%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.76 - 4.00 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 21%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.58)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.42)

Cerezo Osaka (Fact Index 4.76):
Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Kashiwa Reysol (Fact Index 1.85):
Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 36% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cerezo Osaka:
T : 0.500 (0.340 / ▲0.160)
P : 0.500 (0.340 / ▲0.160)

Kashiwa Reysol:
T : 1.000 (0.767 / ▲0.233)
P : 1.000 (0.767 / ▲0.233)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 14 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
21%
AWAY : 36%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
23%
Underdog : 31%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.4 (Model A.)
Cerezo Osaka : 32% (▲ 11%)
26% (▲ 1%)
Kashiwa Reysol : 42% (▼ 12%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 0.8 (Model B.4)
Cerezo Osaka : 46% (▲ 25%)
23% (▼ 2%)
Kashiwa Reysol : 31% (▼ 23%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.1 - 3.5 - 2.2
Cerezo Osaka : 31% (▲ 10%)
27% (▲ 2%)
Kashiwa Reysol : 43% (▼ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 34%
D : 33%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (43%) Trend: 27 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%


Football

Odds Trend: 16 game(s)

HOME : 44%
D : 25%
AWAY : 31%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (43%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 17%
AWAY : 43%


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