Arsenal

2 - 3

Manchester Utd

Sun, Jan 25, 2026 16:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 20%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 2.94 - 7.14)
HOMETEAM: 52%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 14%

Arsenal (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 34% actual win rate for identical index values.

Manchester Utd (Fact Index 7.14): Expected Win % is 14%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Arsenal : 51% (▼ 1%)
34% (-)
Manchester Utd : 16% (▲ 2%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 4.1 - 5.8
Arsenal : 60% (▲ 8%)
23% (▼ 11%)
Manchester Utd : 17% (▲ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 30%
AWAY : 10%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 13%
AWAY : 17%

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