Chapecoense

0 - 4

Flamengo RJ

5-Game Losing Streak Plagues Chapecoense. Conversely, Flamengo RJ Away Streak: 5 Games Unbeaten.

Thu, Jul 23, 2026 00:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.88 - 3.33 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 17%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Weight: [Polar Opposites] (94.74)
Intensity: [One-Sided] (5.26)

Chapecoense (Fact Index 5.88):
Expected Win % is 17%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Flamengo RJ (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chapecoense:
T : 0.056 (0.281 / ▼0.225)
H : 0.111 (0.364 / ▼0.253)
A : 0.000 (0.152 / ▼0.152)
P : 0.000 (0.264 / ▼0.264)

Flamengo RJ:
T : 0.588 (0.703 / ▼0.115)
H : 0.625 (0.745 / ▼0.120)
A : 0.556 (0.660 / ▼0.104)
P : 0.500 (0.687 / ▼0.187)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 8 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 25%
25%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
17%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Chapecoense : 24% (▲ 7%)
25% (▼ 5%)
Flamengo RJ : 51% (▼ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Chapecoense : 46% (▲ 29%)
23% (▼ 7%)
Flamengo RJ : 31% (▼ 22%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 6.5 - 4.3 - 1.5
Chapecoense : 15% (▼ 2%)
22% (▼ 8%)
Flamengo RJ : 64% (▲ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (64%) Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%


Football

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (64%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 10%
D : 20%
AWAY : 70%


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