León

vs

Atl. San Luis

Fortress: León Wins 2nd Straight at Home.

Tue, Sep 15, 2026 01:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 5.00 - 3.57)
HOMETEAM: 52%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 28%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (41.18)
Intensity: [Moderate] (58.82)

León (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Atl. San Luis (Fact Index 3.57):
Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 18% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

León:
T : 0.429 (0.500 / ▼0.071)
A : 0.250 (0.371 / ▼0.121)
P : 0.500 (0.550 / ▼0.050)

Atl. San Luis:
T : 0.143 (0.347 / ▼0.204)
H : 0.000 (0.249 / ▼0.249)
P : 0.167 (0.340 / ▼0.173)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 17 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
29%
AWAY : 18%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 14 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
36%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.1 (Model A.)
León : 49% (▼ 3%)
23% (▲ 3%)
Atl. San Luis : 28% (-)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
León : 50% (▼ 2%)
26% (▲ 6%)
Atl. San Luis : 24% (▼ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.1 - 3.5 - 3.2
León : 44% (▼ 8%)
27% (▲ 7%)
Atl. San Luis : 29% (▲ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 33%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (44%) Trend: 25 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 24%
AWAY : 16%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 27%
D : 27%
AWAY : 46%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (44%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 20%
AWAY : 30%


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