Aston Villa

0 - 1

Brentford

Sun, Feb 1, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 30%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.85 - 5.56 - 3.45)
HOMETEAM: 54%
18%
AWAYTEAM: 29%

Aston Villa (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brentford (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 25%
25%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
25%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Aston Villa : 77% (▲ 23%)
9% (▼ 9%)
Brentford : 15% (▼ 14%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.7 - 3.7
Aston Villa : 48% (▼ 6%)
26% (▲ 8%)
Brentford : 26% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 20%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 27%
AWAY : 30%

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