Marseille

3 - 1

Lens

Sat, Jan 24, 2026 20:05 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 12.50 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 35%
8%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Marseille (Fact Index 2.86): Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lens (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Marseille : 26% (▼ 9%)
21% (▲ 13%)
Lens : 53% (▼ 4%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.7 - 3.6
Marseille : 48% (▲ 13%)
25% (▲ 17%)
Lens : 27% (▼ 30%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 23%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

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