Leeds

vs

Brighton

Tactical Masterclass: Leeds reach 7 without dropping all points.

Sun, May 17, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 43%
Away: 57%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.94 - 3.03 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 34%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Leeds (Fact Index 2.94): Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 58% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brighton (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 58%
28%
AWAY : 14%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 57%
24%
Underdog : 19%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Leeds : 42% (▲ 8%)
29% (▼ 4%)
Brighton : 29% (▼ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Leeds | 0.278 | 0.468 | ▲ 0.190
T | Brighton | 0.389 | 0.569 | ▲ 0.180
H | Leeds | 0.444 | 0.592 | ▲ 0.148
A | Brighton | 0.278 | 0.459 | ▲ 0.181
P | Leeds | 0.500 | 0.736 | ▲ 0.236
P | Brighton | 0.667 | 0.732 | ▲ 0.065
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.2 - 3.6 - 2.2
Leeds : 30% (▼ 4%)
26% (▼ 7%)
Brighton : 44% (▲ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 37%
AWAY : 40%

Awayteam = 2.2 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%

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