Athletico PR

3 - 1

Vitória

Home Sweet Home: Athletico PR Secures 5th Consecutive Victory.

Sun, Apr 26, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 0%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 4.55 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 47%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Weight: [Close] (26.32)
Intensity: [Fierce] (73.68)

Athletico PR (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Vitória (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 9% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Athletico PR:
T : 0.500 (0.563 / ▼0.063)
H : 0.833 (0.807 / ▲0.026)
P : 0.500 (0.581 / ▼0.081)

Vitória:
T : 0.364 (0.422 / ▼0.058)
A : 0.000 (0.142 / ▼0.142)
P : 0.333 (0.371 / ▼0.038)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 22 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
41%
AWAY : 9%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 17 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 41%
47%
Underdog : 12%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Athletico PR : 63% (▲ 16%)
18% (▼ 4%)
Vitória : 19% (▼ 12%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Athletico PR : 46% (▼ 1%)
23% (▲ 1%)
Vitória : 31% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.6 - 5.2
Athletico PR : 56% (▲ 9%)
26% (▲ 4%)
Vitória : 18% (▼ 13%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 38%
AWAY : 8%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 27%
AWAY : 20%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 73%
D : 20%
AWAY : 7%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 33%
AWAY : 27%


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