Mirassol

2 - 1

Corinthians

Sun, May 3, 2026 23:30 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 0%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.00 - 2.78 - 2.56)
HOMETEAM: 25%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 39%

Weight: [Close] (26.32)
Intensity: [Fierce] (73.68)

Mirassol (Fact Index 4.00):
Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Corinthians (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 36% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Mirassol:
T : 0.167 (0.396 / ▼0.229)
H : 0.167 (0.419 / ▼0.252)
P : 0.167 (0.318 / ▼0.151)

Corinthians:
T : 0.231 (0.435 / ▼0.204)
A : 0.167 (0.428 / ▼0.261)
P : 0.167 (0.340 / ▼0.173)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 22 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 27%
37%
AWAY : 36%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 14 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 42%
29%
Underdog : 29%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Mirassol : 38% (▲ 13%)
30% (▼ 6%)
Corinthians : 32% (▼ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.7 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Mirassol : 23% (▼ 2%)
27% (▼ 9%)
Corinthians : 50% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.1 - 3.3
Mirassol : 42% (▲ 17%)
30% (▼ 6%)
Corinthians : 28% (▼ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 15 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 7%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 2.3 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 13%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 2.3 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 46%
D : 27%
AWAY : 27%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy