Liverpool

3 - 1

Crystal Palace

Liverpool Home Streak: 4 Games Without Defeat.

Sat, Apr 25, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

Liverpool :
Florian Wirtz 90' +6
Andy Robertson 40'
Alexander Isak 35'
Crystal Palace :
Daniel Muñoz 71'
Extended Highlights: Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace | Isak Finish, Wirtz Strike, Counter Attack Goal!
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 40%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 3.57 - 2.78)
HOMETEAM: 36%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 36%

Liverpool (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Crystal Palace (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
23%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 40%
23%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Liverpool : 42% (▲ 6%)
24% (▼ 4%)
Crystal Palace : 34% (▼ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Liverpool | 0.485 | 0.573 | ▲ 0.088
T | Crystal Palace | 0.344 | 0.491 | ▲ 0.147
H | Liverpool | 0.563 | 0.667 | ▲ 0.104
A | Crystal Palace | 0.467 | 0.536 | ▲ 0.069
P | Liverpool | 0.500 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.129
P | Crystal Palace | 0.500 | 0.674 | ▲ 0.174
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model B.4)
Liverpool : 22% (▼ 14%)
28% (-)
Crystal Palace : 50% (▲ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.8 - 6.2
Liverpool : 65% (▲ 29%)
20% (▼ 8%)
Crystal Palace : 15% (▼ 21%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 74%
D : 13%
AWAY : 13%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 23%
AWAY : 13%

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