Internacional

1 - 1

Sao Paulo

Momentum: 3 matches without a blemish for Internacional.

Wed, Apr 1, 2026 22:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 33%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.70 - 6.25 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 27%
16%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (52.63)
Intensity: [Moderate] (47.37)

Internacional (Fact Index 3.70):
Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Sao Paulo (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Internacional:
T : 0.250 (0.419 / ▼0.169)
H : 0.250 (0.340 / ▼0.090)
P : 0.333 (0.450 / ▼0.117)

Sao Paulo:
T : 0.625 (0.711 / ▼0.086)
A : 0.500 (0.592 / ▼0.092)
P : 0.667 (0.751 / ▼0.084)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 17%
50%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Internacional : 33% (▲ 6%)
21% (▲ 5%)
Sao Paulo : 46% (▼ 11%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.6 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
Internacional : 17% (▼ 10%)
28% (▲ 12%)
Sao Paulo : 55% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.1 - 3.5
Internacional : 42% (▲ 15%)
31% (▲ 15%)
Sao Paulo : 27% (▼ 30%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 40%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 44%
D : 33%
AWAY : 23%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 46%
D : 27%
AWAY : 27%


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