Brentford

3 - 0

Sunderland

Wed, Jan 7, 2026 19:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.45 - 3.45 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 29%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Brentford (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Sunderland (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
40%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
25%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Brentford : 57% (▲ 28%)
23% (▼ 6%)
Sunderland : 22% (▼ 21%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.7 - 4.5
Brentford : 53% (▲ 24%)
26% (▼ 3%)
Sunderland : 21% (▼ 22%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 20%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 23%
AWAY : 40%

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