Chapecoense

2 - 3

Remo

Chapecoense Suffers 3rd Consecutive Home Defeat. However, Remo: Unbeaten run extended to 3 fixtures.

Sun, May 17, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.45 - 2.63 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 29%
38%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Weight: [Adjacent] (5.26)
Intensity: [Extreme] (94.74)

Chapecoense (Fact Index 3.45):
Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 34% in this event.

Remo (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chapecoense:
T : 0.071 (0.299 / ▼0.228)
H : 0.125 (0.362 / ▼0.237)
P : 0.000 (0.243 / ▼0.243)

Remo:
T : 0.133 (0.359 / ▼0.226)
A : 0.125 (0.255 / ▼0.130)
P : 0.167 (0.408 / ▼0.241)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
33%
Underdog : 67%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
27%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 40%
30%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Chapecoense : 34% (▲ 5%)
30% (▼ 8%)
Remo : 36% (▲ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Chapecoense : 46% (▲ 17%)
23% (▼ 15%)
Remo : 31% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.3 - 2.9
Chapecoense : 40% (▲ 11%)
28% (▼ 10%)
Remo : 32% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Home team = 2.4 (40%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 20%
AWAY : 27%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%

Based on Home team = 2.4 (40%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 33%
AWAY : 20%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy