Chelsea

0 - 1

Manchester Utd

Chelsea Stuck in 4 Competition Slump. Conversely, Manchester Utd Proves Tough to Beat Away from Home.

Sat, Apr 18, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Manchester Utd :
Matheus Cunha 43'
Chelsea 0-1 Man Utd | HIGHLIGHTS - Extended | Premier League 2025/26
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 40%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.33 - 3.33 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 30%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Chelsea (Fact Index 3.33): Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Manchester Utd (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 35% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
25%
AWAY : 35%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
33%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Chelsea : 34% (▲ 4%)
28% (▼ 2%)
Manchester Utd : 38% (▼ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chelsea | 0.406 | 0.583 | ▲ 0.177
T | Manchester Utd | 0.469 | 0.576 | ▲ 0.107
H | Chelsea | 0.375 | 0.545 | ▲ 0.170
A | Manchester Utd | 0.313 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.187
P | Chelsea | 0.167 | 0.313 | ▲ 0.146
P | Manchester Utd | 0.500 | 0.572 | ▲ 0.072
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.6 - 3.1
Chelsea : 42% (▲ 12%)
27% (▼ 3%)
Manchester Utd : 31% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 33%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam = 2.2 Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 33%
AWAY : 30%

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